As a rule, currency pairs’ movement on Forex market is directed, i.e. trend which is clearly determined after it finished. However, for more efficient work traders should know its direction at the beginning of a week.

Factors forming trend on Forex market:

Two factors can help you to determine the direction of weekly trend:

1. Friday currency pairs movement on American stock exchange.
2. Opening GAP (significant difference between the price at the end of previous and beginning of following day) at midnight from Sunday to Monday (Asian session). The result is currency pairs draw their resistance levels, breaking through one of them they turn it into support level, push off from it and will move in this direction the whole week.

Between American session on Monday and Asian session on Friday the channel of pikes resistance levels (by fractals and zigzags) determines the starting point of currency pairs breaking through up and down and as a rule, the whole week move in the preset direction.

The first and fundamental moment of currency pairs’ behavior on Forex market is their movement on Friday at American stock exchange. It is test through released news, strength and trend direction.

If extremely negative or positive news issue did not influence the currency pairs’ fluctuations on Forex market on Friday, it means that brokers and banks were not ready to such fluctuations and movement will start on Monday.

There are two variants of developments, if currency made abrupt jump in trend:

1. New trend wave, for example 400 pips, which currency pairs moved in for the previous week, turns by Elliot into the first wave and the third wave in the same direction will be equal to 640 pips which is 60 % longer.
2. Being at the beginning of medium-term trend wave from h4 to daily and weekly charts in this case pullbacks are from 23% to 62% – movement is trend-forming – new week – new jump along the trend.

If during the American session on Friday currency on Forex market did not start its movement it means that brokers can not determine the trend or movement direction for the next week and this direction will be known only on Monday.

We can make a conclusion from all above: depending on the Elliot waves’ behavior Friday determines the currency movement for the beginning of the next week.

1. If potential trend strength is very big and there was leap in trend on Friday, then on Monday correction or reverse or news wave in trend is expected.
2. If on Friday currency jumped against the trend, then this Friday movement will turn into correction or the first wave of reversed trend.
3. If currency did not start its movement on Friday, it means we can expect the formation of movement on Monday or Tuesday.

One more Forex market peculiarity is analysis of news calendar for the next week. Events which can influence trend’s mood and all corrections should be pointed out.

There is also characteristics which was noticed by A. Elder – you should pay attention to the gap which appears at midnight to Monday – whether currency pairs of allies opened up or down and what direction currency will move after that at Asian trading session – as a rule, the same direction currency will move the next week.

To earn at Forex market, you should understand that intraday trend does not exist by itself.

The main conclusion which should be made by a trader: currency moves the main part of its distance before the news release and just a little movement can be noticed when news was officially confirmed in case it has justifies the forecasts.

To be right, trader should observe only two rules:

1. It is necessary to use strong movement during the whole week in direction of published news.
2. You should be ready for reverse if the news did no justify expectations.

Added by Alexey Talesnik,

InstaForex Clients´ relationship manager