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28.06.2024 05:49 AM
2024年6月28日歐元/美元預測

EUR/USD

與我們的預期相反,歐元並未下跌到最近的目標範圍1.0636/50,但也沒有突破1.0724的阻力位,其上影線進行了測試。本月的交易量略高於平均水平,這表明短期銷售中的一些獲利回吐。

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投資者已經開始為美國獨立紀念日以及下週的關鍵ISM和就業數據做準備。然而,今天市場參與者必須面對個人消費支出(PCE)通脹指標。預計該指標將從2.7%降至2.6%,但由於昨日的季度數據顯示為3.4% 高於預期的3.3%,因此實際數值可能更高。這將延遲投資者對美聯儲降息的預期。我們預計這對貨幣在短期內將在1.0668-1.0740之間進行橫盤交易,其中上限由日線圖上的MACD線定義。在不突破主要下行趨勢的情況下,價格可能會在交易量較少的市場中短暫達到1.0788的目標水平。Marlin震盪指標明顯顯示出當前趨勢的橫盤發展。

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在4小時圖上,價格穩定在MACD指標線上方。考慮到MACD線水平放置,價格橫盤發展,報價容易圍繞該線作為支點波動。Marlin振盪器沿中性零線向右移動。我們預計橫盤走勢將在下週結束。任何方向的劇烈價格波動很可能是虛假信號。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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